Sport Picks
Match Events
71'
71'
Pio Carrozza G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
35%
14%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nocerina have won more games recently than Francavilla.
- Win probability leans Francavilla's way, sitting at 90%.
- Nocerina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Francavilla, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Nocerina
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Nocerina
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Francavilla
0:0
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Francavilla
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Nocerina
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Pio Carrozza G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Nocerina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 95 / 100
Nocerina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Nocerina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Francavilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Francavilla found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Nocerina conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Nocerina
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
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03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
15 Mar
Francavilla
0 : 2 Citta di Fasano
22 Feb
Francavilla
1 : 1 Real Normanna
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Nocerina
(Away) 03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1 Ischia
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0 Nocerina
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1 Flaminia
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0 Nocerina
02 Apr
Nocerina
0 : 0 Latte Dolce
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26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0 Nocerina
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0 Nocerina
29 Mar
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Nocerina
15 Mar
Cassino
0 : 1 Nocerina
22 Feb
Montespaccato
0 : 0 Nocerina
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
