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Francavilla vs Pompei

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Visconti G.
61' Event
Visconti G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Francavilla and Pompei finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Francavilla
15%
Draws
57%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Francavilla come out ahead of Pompei on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 17%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Pompei
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Pompei
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Francavilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Visconti G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 31 / 100
Pompei 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pompei conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Francavilla scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Francavilla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Pompei
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0
Afragolese
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Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)