Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francavilla vs Virtus Matino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Melillo E.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Morra C.
65' Event
Gentile C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between Francavilla and Virtus Matino finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Matino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Francavilla
15%
Draws
57%
Virtus Matino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Matino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Francavilla come out ahead of Virtus Matino on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Francavilla taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Virtus Matino
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Matino
2:3
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Francavilla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gentile C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Virtus Matino Compare

Top Goalscorer Morra C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ancora F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 59 / 100
Virtus Matino 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Virtus Matino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Matino let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Francavilla scored in 69% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Virtus Matino registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
Page 1 of 9

Virtus Matino

(Away)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)