Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France U16 W vs Japan U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France U16 W play Japan U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. Japan U16 W are favorites here. Recently, France U16 W averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Japan U16 W averaged 3.32 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, France U16 W won 1, Japan U16 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.59 for France U16 W and 1.53 for Japan U16 W. This points to a Japan U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
France U16 W
15%
Draws
57%
Japan U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • France U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.59 vs 1.53 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
France U16 W Clean Sheet 15%
Japan U16 W Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U16 W Japan U16 W
Matches Played 25 37
Wins 9 28
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.04 3.32
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Friendly International Women
France U16 W vs Japan U16 W
0:1
Mar 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
France U16 W vs Japan U16 W
1:3
Apr 7, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U16 W vs Japan U16 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdourahim A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gay L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Japan U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U16 W 28 / 100
Japan U16 W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U16 W Japan U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Japan U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France U16 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U16 W scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Japan U16 W let in goals in 38% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

France U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U16 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 87
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.43