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France U17 W vs Spain U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Euro U17 Women 2026 The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Motyka E. In: Olando R.
Out: Motyka E.
46'
Sub
Aymerich M. In: Rodriguez C.
Out: Aymerich M.
46'
Sub
Thomas C. In: Adedini R.
Out: Thomas C.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2026 game between France U17 W and Spain U17 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
France U17 W
15%
Draws
31%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • France U17 W haven't matched Spain U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives France U17 W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
France U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.8 2.68
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Euro U17 Women
France U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs France U17 W
0:1
May 5, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs France U17 W
1:1
May 15, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs France U17 W
6:1
Feb 14, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs France U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zidi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spain U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U17 W 40 / 100
Spain U17 W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U17 W Spain U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U17 W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: France U17 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Spain U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

France U17 W VS Spain U17 W
1.88 Goals Scored 3.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France U17 W

(Home)
17 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
France U17 W
14 May
France U17 W
2 : 1
Norway U17 W
11 May
Finland U17 W
1 : 4
France U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
France U17 W
5 : 0
Poland U17 W
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Spain U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Norway U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 England U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Northern Ireland U17 W 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Spain U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Poland U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Finland U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (World Cup - Promotion)