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Stadium Background

France U19 vs Croatia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Courcoul M.
41'
Baric I.
46'
Sub
Messi R. In: Mmadi T.
Out: Messi R.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between France U19 and Croatia U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
France U19
15%
Draws
32%
Croatia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and France U19 come out ahead of Croatia U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives France U19 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
France U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U19 Croatia U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs France U19
1:2
Mar 31, 2026 Euro U19
France U19 vs Croatia U19
1:1
Sep 7, 2019 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs France U19
1:1
Sep 6, 2018 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs France U19
0:1
Jul 15, 2016 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs France U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Molebe E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Croatia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smiljanic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U19 49 / 100
Croatia U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U19 Croatia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

France U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Croatia U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France U19 VS Croatia U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

France U19

(Home)
01 Oct
France U19
2 : 1
Turkey U19
28 Sept
Croatia U19
1 : 2
France U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
31 Mar
Switzerland U19
2 : 3
France U19
31 Mar
France U19
1 : 1
Croatia U19
Page 1 of 6

Croatia U19

(Away)
04 Oct
Croatia U19
2 : 0
Turkey U19
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Croatia U19
1 : 2
France U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Austria U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Greece U19 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Sweden U19 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
4 Poland U19 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 France U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Switzerland U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Norway U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Czech Republic U19 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Latvia U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Romania U19 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Turkey U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Netherlands U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Slovenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)