Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France U19 vs Italy U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sala E.
22'
Amougou M.
24' Event
Camarda F.
Assist: Venturino L.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2025 game between France U19 and Italy U19 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
France U19
15%
Draws
40%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • France U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives France U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Italy U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
France U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.07 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Friendly International
France U19 vs Italy U19
1:2
Mar 25, 2025 Euro U19
France U19 vs Italy U19
0:2
Jun 24, 2022 Euro U19
France U19 vs Italy U19
4:1
Feb 13, 2019 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs France U19
2:1
Jul 26, 2018 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs France U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camarda F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekhator J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U19 41 / 100
Italy U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U19's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

France U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Italy U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

France U19 VS Italy U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

France U19

(Home)
01 Oct
France U19
2 : 1
Turkey U19
28 Sept
Croatia U19
1 : 2
France U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
31 Mar
Switzerland U19
2 : 3
France U19
31 Mar
France U19
1 : 1
Croatia U19
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19

(Away)
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Austria U19 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Iceland U19 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro U19 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Poland U19 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Georgia U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Czech Republic U19 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
3 Luxembourg U19 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Croatia U19 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U19 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Serbia U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Israel U19 3 0 0 3 5:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Italy U19 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 France U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Latvia U19 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Ireland U19 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Wales U19 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkey U19 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)