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France U23 W vs Belgium U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France U23 W play Belgium U23 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, France U23 W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Belgium U23 W averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, France U23 W won 1, Belgium U23 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 28, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for France U23 W and 0.99 for Belgium U23 W. This points to a France U23 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
France U23 W
23%
Draws
25%
Belgium U23 W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: France U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • France U23 W picked up more points recently compared to Belgium U23 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 23%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U23 W Belgium U23 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
3:0
Feb 23, 2024 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:1
Apr 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs France U23 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bussy K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fazer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Belgium U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U23 W 51 / 100
Belgium U23 W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U23 W Belgium U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: France U23 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France U23 W attacking → ← attacking Belgium U23 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U23 W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Belgium U23 W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

France U23 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Belgium U23 W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 21
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.86
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.57