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France U23 W vs Finland U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France U23 W play Finland U23 W in the Friendly International Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, France U23 W averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Finland U23 W averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, France U23 W won 3, Finland U23 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2022 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.82 for France U23 W and 1.30 for Finland U23 W. This points to a France U23 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
France U23 W
15%
Draws
38%
Finland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • France U23 W picked up more points recently compared to Finland U23 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.82 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 19%
Finland U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U23 W Finland U23 W
Matches Played 33 20
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.58 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs Finland U23 W
3:2
Oct 5, 2022 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs Finland U23 W
3:1
Jun 12, 2021 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs Finland U23 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbakem-Niaro E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lakrar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Finland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sievisto S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rantala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U23 W 46 / 100
Finland U23 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U23 W Finland U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: France U23 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France U23 W attacking → ← attacking Finland U23 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U23 W scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Finland U23 W let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

France U23 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Finland U23 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 31
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.60
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40