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France vs Chile

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nunez M.
Assist: Isla M.
11'
Sub
Clauss J. In: Kounde J.
Out: Clauss J.
19' Event
Fofana Y.
Assist: Mbappe K.

AI Match Summary

France in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
France
15%
Draws
34%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • France have won more games recently than Chile.
  • Model gives France a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
France Clean Sheet 20%
Chile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France Chile
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.3 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.12 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
France vs Chile
3:2
Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International
France vs Chile
1:1
Aug 31, 2001 Friendly International
Chile vs France
2:1
May 26, 1994 Friendly International
France vs Chile
3:1
Jul 19, 2030 World Championship
Chile vs France
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolo Muani R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 1.06

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osorio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 42 / 100
Chile 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: France scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Chile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: France stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France VS Chile
2.63 Goals Scored 0.8
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
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Chile

(Away)
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
30 Mar
New Zealand
4 : 1
Chile
27 Mar
Chile
4 : 2
Cape Verde
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