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France vs Chile

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Vélodrome
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France play Chile in the Friendly International 2024. France are favorites here. Recently, France averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, France won 2, Chile won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 26, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for France and 1.56 for Chile. This points to a France double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
France
16%
Draws
28%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • France picked up more points recently compared to Chile.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
France Clean Sheet 15%
Chile Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France Chile
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
France vs Chile
3:2
Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International
France vs Chile
1:1
Aug 31, 2001 Friendly International
Chile vs France
2:1
May 26, 1994 Friendly International
France vs Chile
3:1
Jul 19, 2030 World Championship
Chile vs France
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolo Muani R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osorio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 53 / 100
Chile 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France Chile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France Win (1)
Secondary Pick France & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France attacking → ← attacking Chile

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Chile let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

France went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chile lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 36
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.57