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France vs Ivory Coast

World World

Friendly International Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cherki R.
Assist: Konate I.
45'
Kessie F.
46'
Sub
Hernandez T. In: Digne L.
Out: Hernandez T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between France and Ivory Coast finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivory Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
France
15%
Draws
42%
Ivory Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • France carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
France Clean Sheet 20%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France Ivory Coast
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 21 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.32 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
France vs Ivory Coast
1:2
Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International
France vs Ivory Coast
2:1
Nov 15, 2016 Friendly International
France vs Ivory Coast
0:0
Aug 17, 2005 Friendly International
France vs Ivory Coast
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Doue G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diallo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 32 / 100
Ivory Coast 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France Ivory Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: France stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ivory Coast has conceded goals in 37% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

France VS Ivory Coast
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
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Ivory Coast

(Away)
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
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