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France vs Morocco

World World

World Championship 2026 Gillette Stadium
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

France host Morocco in the World Championship 2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Morocco have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while France have conceded 0.88 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, France have won 3 to Morocco's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2022, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.63) back Morocco to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
France
17%
Draws
13%
Morocco
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Morocco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to France.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for France.
  • Cup tournament structure in World Championship 2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
France Clean Sheet 14%
Morocco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France Morocco
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 23
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 0
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2022 World Championship
France vs Morocco
2:0
Nov 16, 2007 Friendly International
France vs Morocco
2:2
Jun 7, 2000 Friendly International
Morocco vs France
1:5
Jan 19, 1999 Friendly International
France vs Morocco
1:0
May 29, 1998 Friendly International
Morocco vs France
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 66 / 100
Morocco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France Morocco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Morocco let in goals in 32% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

France went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Morocco lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France VS Morocco
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany1
Paraguay2
France3
Sweden0
South Africa0
Canada1
Netherlands1
Morocco2
Portugal2
Croatia1
Spain3
Austria0
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Belgium3
Senegal2
Brazil2
Japan1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
D.R. Congo1
Argentina3
Cape Verde2
Australia1
Egypt2
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Colombia1
Ghana0
1/8-finals
Paraguay-
France-
Canada-
Morocco-
Portugal-
Spain-
USA-
Belgium-
Brazil-
Norway-
Mexico-
England-
Argentina-
Egypt-
Switzerland-
Colombia-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-