Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

France

3 - 1

Senegal

Our Tip

Match Events

66'

Mbappe K.

Assist: Olise M.

75'

Sub

Sarr I. In: Mbaye I.

Out: Sarr I.

76'

Sub

Camara L. In: Diarra H.

Out: Camara L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between France and Senegal finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

France

15%

Draws

26%

Senegal

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

France carry the better recent record into this one.
59% — that's where the model lands on France taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

France Clean Sheet 17%

Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	France	Senegal
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	22	16
Draws	2	4
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	2.23	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 World Championship

France vs Senegal

3:1

May 31, 2002 World Championship

France vs Senegal

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbappe K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Barcola B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.68

Avg xA / game 1.09

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbaye I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 66 / 100

Senegal 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

France Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

France went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Senegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France VS Senegal

2.75 Goals Scored 1.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)

18 Jul

France

4 : 6

England

14 Jul

France

0 : 2

Spain

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

04 Jul

Paraguay

0 : 1

France

30 Jun

France

3 : 0

Sweden

Page 1 of 7

Senegal

(Away)

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

23 Jun

Norway

3 : 2

Senegal

16 Jun

France

3 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Saudi Arabia

0 : 0

Senegal

Page 1 of 6