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France W vs Poland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
France W Logo

France W

4 - 1
FT
Poland W Logo

Poland W

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Krezyman N.
20' Event
Katoto M-A.
29' Event
Pajor E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
France W
15%
Draws
0%
Poland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to France W lately — more wins on the board than Poland W.
  • Model gives France W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • France W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor France W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors France W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
France W Clean Sheet 68%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France W Poland W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Poland W vs France W
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
France W vs Poland W
4:1
Oct 25, 2013 Friendly International Women
France W vs Poland W
6:0
Aug 24, 2011 Friendly International Women
France W vs Poland W
2:0
Nov 19, 2010 Friendly International Women
France W vs Poland W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France W Compare

Top Goalscorer Katoto M-A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karchaoui S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Poland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pajor E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France W 95 / 100
Poland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France W Poland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Poland W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Poland W conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

France W VS Poland W
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France W

(Home)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

Poland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)