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Franciacorta vs Vigor Carpaneto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 19, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Franciacorta host Vigor Carpaneto in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Franciacorta at 1.23 goals for, 1.42 against; Vigor Carpaneto at 1.4 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Vigor Carpaneto slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.19) back Vigor Carpaneto to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Franciacorta
30%
Draws
43%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Franciacorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciacorta Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Franciacorta vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Franciacorta
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciacorta 32 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciacorta Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vigor Carpaneto conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Franciacorta's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Franciacorta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Franciacorta VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciacorta

(Home)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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