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Franciscain vs Morne des Esses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Franciscain in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Franciscain
15%
Draws
28%
Morne des Esses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Franciscain lately — more wins on the board than Morne des Esses.
  • Model gives Franciscain a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 20%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciscain Morne des Esses
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 23 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.2 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Morne des Esses
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Franciscain
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciscain 85 / 100
Morne des Esses 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciscain Morne des Esses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Franciscain scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Morne des Esses let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Franciscain stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Franciscain VS Morne des Esses
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciscain

(Home)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 6

Morne des Esses

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)