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Francs Borains vs Genk U23

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Stade Robert Urbain, Boussu
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Match Events

12' Event
Ali A.
Assist: Hadjem Y.
16'
Mbavu E.
21'
Sub
Murenzi A. In: Kapers W.
Out: Murenzi A.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 game between Francs Borains and Genk U23 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Francs Borains
15%
Draws
39%
Genk U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francs Borains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Francs Borains come out ahead of Genk U23 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 14%
Genk U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francs Borains Genk U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.23 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Genk U23
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Francs Borains
3:1
Dec 20, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Genk U23
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Francs Borains
1:2
Apr 12, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Francs Borains
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francs Borains Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Genk U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzoko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarfo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francs Borains 31 / 100
Genk U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francs Borains Genk U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Francs Borains found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Genk U23 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Francs Borains remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Francs Borains VS Genk U23
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Francs Borains

(Home)
18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2
Anderlecht U23
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
17 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Francs Borains
Page 1 of 6

Genk U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Genk U23
2 : 2
RFC Seraing
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 4
Genk U23
25 Aug
Genk U23
6 : 0
Maastricht
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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