Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fransta IK vs Umea FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Nordlund O.
86' Event
Alshiekhkhalil O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Fransta IK and Umea FF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fransta IK
15%
Draws
42%
Umea FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fransta IK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Fransta IK's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Umea FF have produced (1.73).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Fransta IK have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Fransta IK Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fransta IK Umea FF
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.83 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FF
3:2
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FF
1:1
May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Fransta IK
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fransta IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordlund O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alshiekhkhalil O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fransta IK 34 / 100
Umea FF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fransta IK Umea FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fransta IK scored in 83% of their last 18 games.

Umea FF let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Fransta IK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fransta IK VS Umea FF
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fransta IK

(Home)
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Storfors AIK
3 : 0
Fransta IK
22 Aug
Umea FC Akademi
2 : 4
Fransta IK
15 Aug
Fransta IK
2 : 4
Friska Viljor
Page 1 of 4

Umea FF

(Away)
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
Umea FF
2 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)