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Fraserburgh vs Nairn County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sargent R.
Penalty Missed
48' Event
Duncan L.
Assist: Watt L.
52' Event
Hay B.
Assist: Barbour S.

AI Match Summary

Fraserburgh in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fraserburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fraserburgh
15%
Draws
45%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nairn County haven't matched Fraserburgh's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nairn County a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fraserburgh have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Nairn County
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
2:0
Apr 8, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Fraserburgh
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
7:0
Mar 15, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Fraserburgh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraserburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Duncan L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nairn County Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 26 / 100
Nairn County 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Nairn County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairn County let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Fraserburgh scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Fraserburgh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Nairn County
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

Nairn County

(Away)
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0
Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2
Banks O' Dee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)