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Stadium Background

Fratria II vs Devnya 2005

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria II in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fratria II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Fratria II
15%
Draws
12%
Devnya 2005
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fratria II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fratria II lately — more wins on the board than Devnya 2005.
  • Win probability leans Fratria II's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria II Devnya 2005
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 9 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.27 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Devnya 2005
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria II 40 / 100
Devnya 2005 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria II Devnya 2005

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devnya 2005's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

Fratria II scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Devnya 2005's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fratria II VS Devnya 2005
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria II

(Home)
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

Devnya 2005

(Away)
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
30 Aug
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Benkovski
26 Aug
Volov Shumen
2 : 0
Devnya 2005
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
3 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
4 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
7 Cherno More II 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
8 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
9 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
10 Septemvri Tervel 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 6 2 2 2 12:14 8
12 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
13 Fratria II 7 2 0 5 7:23 6
14 Devnya 2005 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 7 0 1 6 12:24 1
17 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)