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Fratria II vs Septemvri Tervel

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Fratria II and Septemvri Tervel finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fratria II
6%
Draws
90%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Tervel come out ahead of Fratria II on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Tervel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Septemvri Tervel here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria II Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 23
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.63 3.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Septemvri Tervel
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Fratria II
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Septemvri Tervel
0:5
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Fratria II
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria II 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria II Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Fratria II scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Tervel conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Fratria II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fratria II VS Septemvri Tervel
1.63 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria II

(Home)
30 May
Fratria II
0 : 7
Volov Shumen
24 May
Aksakovo
3 : 1
Fratria II
16 May
Fratria II
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
13 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
2 : 0
Fratria II
09 May
Fratria II
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1
Ludogorets III
17 May
Cherno More II
0 : 2
Septemvri Tervel
13 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
09 May
Fratria II
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291
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