Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Spartak Pleven

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Aleksandrov D.
46'
Sub
Aleksandrov D. In: Kandoussi B.
Out: Aleksandrov D.
46'
Sub
Mihalev D. In: Isuf A.
Out: Mihalev D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and Spartak Pleven finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fratria
30%
Draws
28%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fratria come out ahead of Spartak Pleven on wins alone.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 13 5
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Spartak Pleven
3:0
Apr 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Fratria
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Spartak Pleven
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Spartak Pleven
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Fratria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksandrov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korablin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Spartak Pleven Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 85 / 100
Spartak Pleven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Fratria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Spartak Pleven conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Spartak Pleven
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)