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Fratria vs Svoge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria host Svoge in the Vtora liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Svoge have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Fratria have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.64. Head-to-head, Fratria have won 4 to Svoge's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.81, favoring Fratria. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Fratria
15%
Draws
26%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Fratria's recent run of results.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fratria have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Svoge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.64 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Fratria
0:3
Aug 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Svoge
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Svoge
2:0
Jul 27, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Fratria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 85 / 100
Svoge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Svoge let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Fratria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Svoge
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
Page 1 of 6

Svoge

(Away)
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 13 7 4 2 26:12 25
2 Vihren 13 7 4 2 26:13 25
3 Chernomorets 1919 13 7 4 2 22:9 25
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Beroe 13 6 3 4 21:16 21
6 Hebar 13 6 2 5 29:21 20
7 Yantra Gabrovo 13 6 2 5 16:14 20
8 Gorna 13 5 5 3 11:10 20
9 Rilski Sportist 13 5 4 4 15:13 19
10 Marek 13 5 3 5 15:15 18
11 Nesebar 13 5 3 5 21:19 18
12 Spartak Pleven 13 5 2 6 14:24 17
13 Etar 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
15 Svoge 13 2 5 6 9:14 11
16 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 13 0 1 12 5:36 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)