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Frechen vs Merten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Frechen Logo

Frechen

1 - 1
FT
Merten Logo

Merten

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Frechen and Merten finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Frechen
30%
Draws
47%
Merten
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Merten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Merten are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen Merten
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2 3
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Merten
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Frechen
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Merten
1:4
Sep 22, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Frechen
4:0
Feb 24, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Frechen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 10 / 100
Merten 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen Merten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frechen scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Merten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Frechen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Frechen VS Merten
2.75 Goals Scored 3.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Frechen

(Home)
04 Oct
Frechen
1 : 0
VfL Vichttal
27 Sept
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
Frechen
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
Page 1 of 6

Merten

(Away)
04 Oct
Merten
6 : 1
Eintracht Hohkeppel
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)