Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredensborg vs Hellerup

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rasmussen J. H.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Own Goal
70' Event
Gothe F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Hellerup advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fredensborg
20%
Draws
40%
Hellerup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hellerup come out ahead of Fredensborg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fredensborg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Hellerup arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hellerup, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hellerup have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 19%
Hellerup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Hellerup
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.7 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
1:3
Sep 5, 2017 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
1:2
Oct 22, 2016 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
0:4
Aug 6, 2016 2nd Division - Group 1
Hellerup vs Fredensborg
0:2
Aug 13, 2008 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gothe F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Hellerup Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 67 / 100
Hellerup 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Hellerup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredensborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellerup let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Hellerup lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Fredensborg found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Hellerup
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 6

Hellerup

(Away)
25 Sept
Hellerup
1 : 1
Roskilde
18 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 0
Hellerup
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
11 Sept
Fremad Amager
2 : 1
Hellerup
05 Sept
Hellerup
2 : 1
Brabrand
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Silkeborg -
TBD -
Hirtshals BK 2
Kjellerup 3
Fredensborg 1
Ringsted 0
Helsinge 0
Hellerup 2
Hedensted 3
Thisted FC 2
Holstebro 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyngby -
Holbaek 5
LUIF 0
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 1
BSF 3
Varde 4
Krarup/Espe 2
TBD -
Horsens -
Otterup 3
Marienlyst 2
Christiania SC 2
Sunred Beach 3
Agerbaek/Starup 5
Bramming 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Aalborg -
TBD -
Young Boys FD 1
Viborg 3
Aabyhoj 3
Christiansbjerg IF 2
Egen 2
Middelfart 4
Hvidovre IF 1
BK Frem 0
FC Sonderborg 1
Boldklubben 1913 4
Husum BK 1
Bornholm 0
TBD -
Helsingor -
Koge 5
Herlufsholm 0
Roskilde 0
Nykobing 1
Bronshoj 2
Tarnby FF 1
Olstykke 1
Naestved IF 3
Aarhus -
TBD -
Linde 0
VSK Aarhus 12
RKG 2
Hatting Torsted 0
Esbjerg 0
Fredericia 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frem Sakskobing 1
Herstedoster IC 0
Rishoj 0
Greve IF 6
Fremad Amager 5
Avarta 0
FC Graesrodderne 2
Vanlose 3
Dalum IF 2
Tarup-Paarup 1
TBD -
Odense -
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Sydvest 05 1
Marstal/Rise 0
Birkelse 1
Vejgaard 3
Slagelse 3
Roskilde KFUM 0
Kastrup 1
AB Copenhagen 4
Kolding IF 5
Tasinge 0
TBD -
Hobro -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brabrand 3
DGL 2000 0
Lystrup 0
Vendsyssel FF 3
VB 1968 4
Dollefjelde-Musse 1
KRFK 0
Naesby 3
Vejle 3
Alleso 0
Odder 0
Jammerbugt 3
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Norresundby -
TBD -
Vejlby Risskov 0
Skive 4
Ledoje-Smorum 4
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 3
Boldklubben 1893 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Silkeborg 6
Kjellerup 0
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 2
Hedensted 1
Aarhus Fremad 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Holbaek 5
BSF 1
Varde 3
Horsens 5
Otterup 5
Sunred Beach 1
Agerbaek/Starup 2
Randers FC 7
Aalborg 5
Viborg 1
Aabyhoj 3
Middelfart 4
Hvidovre IF 3
Boldklubben 1913 1
Husum BK 0
Helsingor 3
Koge 4
Nykobing 3
Bronshoj 0
Naestved IF 2
Aarhus 4
VSK Aarhus 1
RKG 1
Fredericia 8
Midtjylland -
Frem Sakskobing -
Frem Sakskobing 0
Greve IF 9
Fremad Amager 3
Vanlose 1
Dalum IF 0
Odense 1
Nordsjaelland -
FC Sydvest 05 -
FC Sydvest 05 3
Vejgaard 4
Slagelse 2
AB Copenhagen 1
Kolding IF 0
Hobro 1
Sonderjyske -
Brabrand -
Brabrand 0
Vendsyssel FF 1
VB 1968 1
Naesby 0
Vejle 1
Jammerbugt 3
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Norresundby 2
Skive 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Silkeborg 3
Hellerup 0
Hedensted 1
Lyngby 3
Holbaek 1
Horsens 0
Otterup 0
Randers FC 2
Aalborg 2
Middelfart 0
Hvidovre IF 0
Helsingor 1
Koge 3
Naestved IF 1
Aarhus 0
Fredericia 1
Midtjylland 7
Greve IF 0
Fremad Amager 2
Odense 3
Nordsjaelland 4
Vejgaard 0
Slagelse 1
Hobro 5
Sonderjyske 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
VB 1968 0
Jammerbugt 3
FC Copenhagen 3
Skive 0
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Brondby 5
1/8-finals
Silkeborg 3
Lyngby 1
Holbaek 1
Randers FC 4
Aalborg 2
Helsingor 1
Koge 0
Fredericia 2
Midtjylland 3
Odense 0
Nordsjaelland 1
Hobro 2
Sonderjyske 4
Jammerbugt 1
FC Copenhagen 0
Brondby 1
Quarter-finals
Silkeborg 3
Randers FC 1
Aalborg 1
Fredericia 3
Midtjylland 2
Hobro 1
Sonderjyske 0
Brondby 1
Semi-finals
Silkeborg 1
Fredericia 0
Midtjylland 1
Brondby 3
Final
Silkeborg 1
Brondby 3