Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredensborg vs Vejgaard

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Smith A.

AI Match Summary

Fredensborg in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredensborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fredensborg
15%
Draws
51%
Vejgaard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vejgaard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fredensborg haven't matched Vejgaard's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 18%
Vejgaard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Vejgaard
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.7 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Vejgaard vs Fredensborg
1:1
Mar 25, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Vejgaard
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Vejgaard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 32 / 100
Vejgaard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Vejgaard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vejgaard let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Vejgaard's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fredensborg scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vejgaard
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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Vejgaard

(Away)
04 Aug
Lyseng
3 : 2
Vejgaard
12 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
3 : 1
Vejgaard
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
05 Jun
Vejgaard
2 : 0
Lyseng
30 May
Vejgaard
2 : 0
BK Frem
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