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Free State Stars vs Black Leopards

South Africa South Africa

GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Thutlwa T.

AI Match Summary

Black Leopards in this GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Black Leopards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Free State Stars
11%
Draws
9%
Black Leopards
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Free State Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Black Leopards lately — more wins on the board than Free State Stars.
  • Model gives Free State Stars a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Black Leopards Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Free State Stars Black Leopards
Matches Played 30 52
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Black Leopards
0:1
Dec 14, 2021 Nedbank Cup
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars
1:2
Oct 24, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Betway Premiership
Free State Stars vs Black Leopards
2:2
Oct 28, 2018 Betway Premiership
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Free State Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Black Leopards Compare

Top Goalscorer Thutlwa T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Free State Stars 76 / 100
Black Leopards 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Free State Stars Black Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Free State Stars scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Black Leopards conceded in 73% of 52 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Free State Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Black Leopards
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Free State Stars

(Home)
15 May
Venda
1 : 1
Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1
Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2
Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1
Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0
Free State Stars
Page 1 of 6

Black Leopards

(Away)
17 May
Lerumo Lions
4 : 0
Black Leopards
10 May
Black Leopards
2 : 1
Venda
02 May
Kruger United
3 : 1
Black Leopards
25 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 1
Milford
21 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 0
The Bees
Page 1 of 11

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Richards Bay301412439:2254
2Pretoria U.301313440:2652
3Cape Town All Stars301212637:2648
4JDR Stars30129932:2845
5Venda301014626:2444
6Polokwane City301181142:3741
7Free State Stars301011926:2441
8Uthongathi30815727:2539
9Black Leopards301091130:2939
10Platinum City301081230:4638
11Hungry Lions308121027:2736
12Pretoria Callies301051533:3235
13Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila30971426:4534
14Cape Town Spurs30615927:3233
15Jomo Cosmos305131227:3428
16TS Sporting30771622:3428
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)