Sport Picks
Free State Stars vs Steenberg United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Africa
GladAfrica Championship 2020/2021 
Match Events
6'
6'
Khabane M.
17'
17'
Chirambadare E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The GladAfrica Championship 2020/2021 game between Free State Stars and Steenberg United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Free State Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Free State Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Free State Stars's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this GladAfrica Championship 2020/2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Steenberg United Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Free State Stars | Steenberg United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Steenberg United
1:1
Jan 27, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Steenberg United vs Free State Stars
0:1
Mar 13, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Steenberg United vs Free State Stars
1:2
Nov 9, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Steenberg United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Free State Stars Compare
Top Goalscorer Khabane M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Steenberg United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Free State Stars 85 / 100
Steenberg United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Free State Stars Steenberg United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Free State Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Steenberg United let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Free State Stars scored in 71% of their last 35 games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Free State Stars remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Free State Stars VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Free State Stars
(Home) 15 May
Venda
1 : 1 Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1 Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2 Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1 Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0 Free State Stars
Page 1 of 7
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1 Polokwane City
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1 Black Leopards
12 Apr
Free State Stars
2 : 0 Jomo Cosmos
19 Mar
Free State Stars
0 : 0 Hungry Lions
26 Feb
Free State Stars
2 : 2 Pretoria Callies
Page 1 of 4
Steenberg United
(Away) 23 May
Richards Bay
4 : 0 Steenberg United
16 May
Steenberg United
1 : 1 JDR Stars
09 May
Cape Town All Stars
0 : 0 Steenberg United
05 May
Free State Stars
1 : 1 Steenberg United
01 May
Steenberg United
1 : 2 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Richards Bay
4 : 0 Steenberg United
09 May
Cape Town All Stars
0 : 0 Steenberg United
05 May
Free State Stars
1 : 1 Steenberg United
28 Apr
Pretoria Callies
2 : 0 Steenberg United
24 Apr
Jomo Cosmos
0 : 1 Steenberg United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sekhukhune | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 41:20 | 53 |
| 2 | Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 34:25 | 51 |
| 3 | Richards Bay | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 41:27 | 49 |
| 4 | TS Sporting | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 41:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Free State Stars | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37:32 | 45 |
| 6 | JDR Stars | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Cape Umoya United | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:24 | 41 |
| 8 | Pretoria Callies | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 24:26 | 41 |
| 9 | Jomo Cosmos | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:27 | 38 |
| 10 | Cape Town All Stars | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:32 | 37 |
| 11 | Uthongathi | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:33 | 37 |
| 12 | Pretoria U. | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 27:30 | 35 |
| 13 | Cape Town Spurs | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:38 | 33 |
| 14 | Polokwane City | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:30 | 32 |
| 15 | Steenberg United | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | 30 |
| 16 | Bizana Pondo Chiefs | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 24:43 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - GladAfrica Championship 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
