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Freedom W vs Lumezzane W

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Serie B Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Serie B Women 2025/2026 game between Freedom W and Lumezzane W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freedom W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Freedom W
20%
Draws
33%
Lumezzane W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freedom W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lumezzane W come out ahead of Freedom W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Freedom W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Freedom W Clean Sheet 13%
Lumezzane W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freedom W Lumezzane W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Lumezzane W
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie B Women
Lumezzane W vs Freedom W
5:3
Mar 9, 2025 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Lumezzane W
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie B Women
Lumezzane W vs Freedom W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freedom W 84 / 100
Lumezzane W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freedom W Lumezzane W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freedom W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Freedom W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Lumezzane W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Freedom W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freedom W VS Lumezzane W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freedom W

(Home)
17 May
Trastevere Calcio W
0 : 2
Freedom W
10 May
Freedom W
2 : 1
RES Roma W
03 May
San Marino Academy W
3 : 0
Freedom W
26 Apr
Freedom W
5 : 1
Brescia W
04 Apr
Bologna W
2 : 2
Freedom W
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Lumezzane W

(Away)
13 Sept
Frosinone W
3 : 1
Lumezzane W
06 Sept
Lumezzane W
2 : 1
Hellas Verona W
29 Aug
Brescia W
0 : 0
Lumezzane W
01 Aug
Parma W
2 : 0
Lumezzane W
17 May
Hellas Verona W
1 : 2
Lumezzane W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 1907 W 26 22 3 1 72:20 69
2 Lumezzane W 26 18 4 4 52:24 58
3 Cesena W 26 17 2 7 63:33 53
4 Bologna W 26 13 4 9 50:38 43
5 Freedom W 26 11 9 6 50:43 42
6 RES Roma W 26 12 6 8 52:43 42
7 Frosinone W 26 9 6 11 36:43 33
8 Vicenza W 26 9 6 11 33:36 33
9 Brescia W 26 9 5 12 37:43 32
10 Arezzo W 26 8 5 13 29:43 29
11 San Marino Academy W 26 8 4 14 35:54 28
12 Hellas Verona W 26 4 7 15 28:48 19
13 Venezia W 26 4 4 18 30:71 16
14 Trastevere Calcio W 26 3 5 18 22:50 14
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