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Freeport vs Black Man Warrior

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Freeport and Black Man Warrior finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Black Man Warrior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Freeport
35%
Draws
41%
Black Man Warrior
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Black Man Warrior come out ahead of Freeport on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Freeport Clean Sheet 20%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Black Man Warrior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Freeport
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Black Man Warrior
1:2
Feb 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Black Man Warrior
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Freeport
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 32 / 100
Black Man Warrior 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Black Man Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Black Man Warrior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Freeport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Black Man Warrior
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Black Man Warrior

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)