Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freeport vs Discoveries

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Discoveries in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Discoveries.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Freeport
35%
Draws
32%
Discoveries
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Discoveries have won more games recently than Freeport.
  • Freeport are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Discoveries have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Freeport Clean Sheet 20%
Discoveries Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Discoveries
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Discoveries
0:2
Nov 6, 2025 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Freeport
3:1
Feb 24, 2025 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Freeport
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Discoveries
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 42 / 100
Discoveries 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Discoveries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Freeport scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Discoveries has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Freeport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Discoveries
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Discoveries

(Away)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
Discoveries
1 : 0
Liberia Registry
05 May
Wologizi
0 : 0
Discoveries
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)