Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freeport vs Heaven Eleven

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Freeport and Heaven Eleven finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heaven Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Freeport
35%
Draws
36%
Heaven Eleven
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heaven Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heaven Eleven come out ahead of Freeport on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Freeport taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Heaven Eleven here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Freeport Clean Sheet 15%
Heaven Eleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Heaven Eleven
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Heaven Eleven
1:2
Oct 29, 2025 LFA First Division
Heaven Eleven vs Freeport
4:2
Apr 10, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Heaven Eleven
3:2
Nov 27, 2024 LFA First Division
Heaven Eleven vs Freeport
3:2
Apr 6, 2024 LFA First Division
Heaven Eleven vs Freeport
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 35 / 100
Heaven Eleven 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Heaven Eleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Freeport's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Heaven Eleven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Freeport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Heaven Eleven
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

Heaven Eleven

(Away)
24 May
Heaven Eleven
3 : 3
Watanga
19 May
Heaven Eleven
1 : 1
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Wologizi
1 : 0
Heaven Eleven
03 May
Borough FC
2 : 1
Heaven Eleven
01 Apr
Freeport
1 : 2
Heaven Eleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)