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Freeport vs Liberia Registry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freeport host Liberia Registry in the LFA First Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Freeport at 1.53 goals for, 2.22 against; Liberia Registry at 1.35 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Liberia Registry slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.50) back Liberia Registry to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Freeport
35%
Draws
41%
Liberia Registry
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liberia Registry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Liberia Registry have won more games recently than Freeport.
  • Freeport are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Liberia Registry here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Freeport Clean Sheet 16%
Liberia Registry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Liberia Registry
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 LFA First Division
Liberia Registry vs Freeport
2:1
Dec 8, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Liberia Registry
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Liberia Registry
3:1
Dec 4, 2024 LFA First Division
Liberia Registry vs Freeport
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 LFA First Division
Liberia Registry vs Freeport
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 36 / 100
Liberia Registry 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Liberia Registry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia Registry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Freeport scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Freeport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Liberia Registry
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Liberia Registry

(Away)
18 May
Discoveries
1 : 0
Liberia Registry
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
25 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Wologizi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Invincible Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 LPRC Oiler 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 NPA Anchors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liberia Registry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Watanga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Discoveries 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freeport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 BEA Mountain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Heaven Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Paynesville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shaita 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Black Man Warrior 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Gardnersville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Downtown 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wologizi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borough FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Golden Dream 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 District 17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)