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Freeport vs Paynesville

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
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AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Freeport and Paynesville finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Freeport
35%
Draws
36%
Paynesville
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paynesville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paynesville come out ahead of Freeport on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Freeport's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Freeport Clean Sheet 15%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Paynesville
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Paynesville
3:3
Oct 26, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Freeport
6:2
Apr 6, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Freeport
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Paynesville
3:1
Feb 12, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Paynesville
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 39 / 100
Paynesville 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Paynesville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paynesville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Freeport found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Freeport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Paynesville
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Paynesville

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)