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Freeport vs Paynesville

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
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AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Freeport and Paynesville finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Freeport
33%
Draws
27%
Paynesville
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Freeport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paynesville come out ahead of Freeport on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Freeport's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Freeport Clean Sheet 15%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Paynesville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Paynesville
3:3
Oct 26, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Freeport
6:2
Apr 6, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Freeport
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Paynesville
3:1
Feb 12, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Paynesville
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 39 / 100
Paynesville 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Paynesville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paynesville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Freeport found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Freeport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Paynesville
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Paynesville

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watanga26168240:2056
2BEA Mountain26157456:2252
3FC Fassell26138531:1747
4LPRC Oiler26118736:2941
5Liberia Registry26125931:3341
6Paynesville26108841:4238
7Discoveries2698931:2335
8Wologizi26971038:4034
9Heaven Eleven26711833:3532
10Borough FC26691133:4427
11Downtown26761332:4427
12Gardnersville26761336:5127
13Black Man Warrior26481416:2820
14Freeport26451738:6417
15Jubilee00000:00
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)