Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Frei Paulistano

0 - 1

Estanciano EC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estanciano EC in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estanciano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Frei Paulistano

15%

Draws

47%

Estanciano EC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Frei Paulistano average 1.73 goals a game right now, well clear of Estanciano EC's 1.3.
42% — that's where the model lands on Frei Paulistano taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Frei Paulistano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 16%

Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Estanciano EC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	15
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.73	1.3
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:4

Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

0:1

Mar 15, 2023 Sergipano

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

1:0

Feb 5, 2017 Sergipano

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frei Paulistano 41 / 100

Estanciano EC 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Frei Paulistano Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frei Paulistano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Estanciano EC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Frei Paulistano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frei Paulistano VS Estanciano EC

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frei Paulistano

(Home)

01 Nov

Flamengo SE

0 : 4

Frei Paulistano

26 Oct

Atletico Central

0 : 1

Frei Paulistano

18 Oct

Frei Paulistano

0 : 1

Desportiva Aracaju

15 Oct

Independente SE

0 : 3

Frei Paulistano

11 Oct

Frei Paulistano

5 : 1

Boca Junior

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Estanciano EC

(Away)

06 Nov

Estanciano EC

2 : 1

Socorrense

01 Nov

Estanciano EC

3 : 0

CS Maruinense

25 Oct

CS Maruinense

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

19 Oct

Estanciano EC

2 : 0

Santa Cruz SE

16 Oct

Santa Cruz SE

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

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