Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Frei Paulistano

0 - 1

Estanciano EC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estanciano EC in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estanciano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Frei Paulistano

20%

Draws

38%

Estanciano EC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Frei Paulistano average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Estanciano EC's 1.88.
42% — that's where the model lands on Frei Paulistano taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Frei Paulistano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 16%

Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Estanciano EC
Matches Played	33	33
Wins	18	18
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	2	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:4

Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

0:1

Mar 15, 2023 Sergipano

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

1:0

Feb 5, 2017 Sergipano

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frei Paulistano 41 / 100

Estanciano EC 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Frei Paulistano Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frei Paulistano scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Frei Paulistano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Estanciano EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Frei Paulistano VS Estanciano EC

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frei Paulistano

(Home)

01 Nov

Flamengo SE

0 : 4

Frei Paulistano

26 Oct

Atletico Central

0 : 1

Frei Paulistano

18 Oct

Frei Paulistano

0 : 1

Desportiva Aracaju

15 Oct

Independente SE

0 : 3

Frei Paulistano

11 Oct

Frei Paulistano

5 : 1

Boca Junior

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Estanciano EC

(Away)

06 Nov

Estanciano EC

2 : 1

Socorrense

01 Nov

Estanciano EC

3 : 0

CS Maruinense

25 Oct

CS Maruinense

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

19 Oct

Estanciano EC

2 : 0

Santa Cruz SE

16 Oct

Santa Cruz SE

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

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