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Freiberg vs Fulda-Lehnerz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiberg host Fulda-Lehnerz in the Regionalliga Sudwest. This has Freiberg written all over it on paper. Fulda-Lehnerz have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Freiberg have conceded 1.79 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor Freiberg slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Freiberg. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Freiberg
35%
Draws
6%
Fulda-Lehnerz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Freiberg at 2.14 per game, Fulda-Lehnerz at 1.8.
  • Freiberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 20%
Fulda-Lehnerz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiberg Fulda-Lehnerz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.14 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiberg 85 / 100
Fulda-Lehnerz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiberg Fulda-Lehnerz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiberg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Fulda-Lehnerz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Freiberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Freiberg VS Fulda-Lehnerz
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiberg

(Home)
03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2
TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
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Fulda-Lehnerz

(Away)
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
12 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
09 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
1 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
7 FC 08 Homburg 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)