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Freiburg II vs Freiberg Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiburg II host Freiberg in the Regionalliga Sudwest. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Freiberg have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Freiburg II have conceded 1.48 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Freiburg II have won 2 to Freiberg's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 2.06) back Freiburg II to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Freiburg II
35%
Draws
31%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiburg II lately — more wins on the board than Freiberg.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 10%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg II Freiberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.17 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Freiberg
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Freiburg II
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Freiburg II
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Freiberg
2:1
May 17, 2008 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburg II vs Freiberg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg II 34 / 100
Freiberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg II Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Freiburg II scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Freiberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Freiburg II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg II VS Freiberg
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg II

(Home)
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
11 Sept
Freiburg II
1 : 2
Sandhausen
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0
Freiburg II
05 Sept
Freiburg II
4 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
Page 1 of 6

Freiberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2
TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
7 FC 08 Homburg 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)