Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Osterhage P.
42'
42'
Tsunemoto K.
57'
57'
Eggestein M.
Assist: Grifo V.
AI Match Summary
Freiburg in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Freiburg have won more games recently than Basel.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 20%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Freiburg | Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2025 Europa League
Freiburg vs Basel
2:1
Sep 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Basel
6:0
Jan 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Basel
3:2
Jan 21, 2016 Club Friendly
Basel vs Freiburg
1:1
Jan 24, 2015 Club Friendly
Basel vs Freiburg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Osterhage P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eggestein M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Basel Compare
Top Goalscorer Otele P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Freiburg 31 / 100
Basel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Freiburg Basel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Basel conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Freiburg scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Freiburg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Freiburg VS Basel
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Freiburg
(Home) 08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
31 Jul
Freiburg
0 : 3 Greuther Furth
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
20 May
Freiburg
0 : 3 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
31 Jul
Freiburg
0 : 3 Greuther Furth
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
20 May
Freiburg
0 : 3 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 4
Basel
(Away) 09 Aug
Basel
4 : 2 Thun
01 Aug
Basel
0 : 1 Lausanne
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1 Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0 Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2 Winterthur
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1 Basel
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3 Basel
17 May
Lugano
4 : 0 Basel
10 May
Young Boys
3 : 0 Basel
18 Apr
Thun
3 : 1 Basel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
