Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Ginter M.
Assist: Grifo V.
25'
25'
Matanovic I.
Assist: Ginter M.
30'
30'
Matanovic I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Freiburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Freiburg come out ahead of Genk on wins alone.
- Model gives Freiburg a 52% chance of winning this.
- Freiburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Freiburg, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Freiburg | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Europa League
Freiburg vs Genk
5:1
Mar 12, 2026 Europa League
Genk vs Freiburg
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Ginter M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matanovic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Genk Compare
Top Goalscorer Smets M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Freiburg 84 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Freiburg Genk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Freiburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Freiburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Genk has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Freiburg VS Genk
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Freiburg
(Home) 12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 4
Genk
(Away) 06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0 Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0 SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4 Genk
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2 Westerlo
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1 Genk
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0 Genk
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4 Genk
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1 Genk
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Genk
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 Genk
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
