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Freiburg vs Luzern - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiburg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Freiburg
20%
Draws
28%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Freiburg have won more games recently than Luzern.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Freiburg taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 15%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg Luzern
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.43 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Luzern
4:2
Sep 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Luzern
4:2
Dec 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Luzern
2:2
Sep 2, 2016 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Luzern
2:2
Jan 18, 2016 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Luzern
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg 84 / 100
Luzern 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Freiburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Luzern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg VS Luzern
3.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg

(Home)
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Freiburg
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
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Luzern

(Away)
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
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