Sport Picks
Freiburg vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg 
AI Match Summary
Freiburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Freiburg have averaged 2.09 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Union Berlin's 1.69 scored and 2.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Freiburg have won 0 to Union Berlin's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.19, favoring Freiburg. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Freiburg have won more games recently than Union Berlin.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Freiburg | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Freiburg scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Union Berlin conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Freiburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Freiburg
(Home)Union Berlin
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 8 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Schalke | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | 3 |
