Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freiburg W vs Bayern Munich W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Dreisamstadion
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Harder P.
Assist: Dallmann L.
45' Event
Kolb L.
58' Event
Harder P.
Assist: Gwinn G.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Freiburg W and Bayern Munich W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Freiburg W
44%
Draws
20%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich W come out ahead of Freiburg W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bayern Munich W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 26
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 1
Goals Scored 2.14 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.14 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayern Munich W
1:4
Sep 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Freiburg W
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Freiburg W
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Freiburg W vs Bayern Munich W
1:2
Nov 8, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayern Munich W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolb L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Imade E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 34 / 100
Bayern Munich W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W Bayern Munich W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Freiburg W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Freiburg W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bayern Munich W let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS Bayern Munich W
2.14 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211