Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freiburger vs Mutschelbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Klemm D.
27' Event
Batke C.
32' Event
Batke C.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 game between Freiburger and Mutschelbach finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mutschelbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Freiburger
20%
Draws
50%
Mutschelbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mutschelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mutschelbach come out ahead of Freiburger on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mutschelbach taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Freiburger Clean Sheet 10%
Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburger Mutschelbach
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburger vs Mutschelbach
2:3
Sep 17, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Freiburger
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Tritschler D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivancic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Mutschelbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Batke C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klemm D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburger 10 / 100
Mutschelbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburger Mutschelbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutschelbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutschelbach let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Freiburger found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Freiburger has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freiburger VS Mutschelbach
0.6 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 3.13
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburger

(Home)
29 Jun
Bahlinger
4 : 0
Freiburger
04 Feb
Lorrach-Brombach
0 : 3
Freiburger
02 Feb
Karlsruher II
1 : 0
Freiburger
25 Jan
FC 08 Villingen
6 : 0
Freiburger
13 Jul
Freiburger
0 : 4
Bahlinger
Page 1 of 6

Mutschelbach

(Away)
01 Jun
Reutlingen
6 : 0
Mutschelbach
18 May
Mutschelbach
2 : 0
Goppinger
12 May
Backnang
1 : 1
Mutschelbach
09 May
Mutschelbach
1 : 4
FC 08 Villingen
04 May
TSV Essingen
0 : 0
Mutschelbach
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stutt. Kickers 34 26 6 2 108:17 84
2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 22 3 9 66:42 69
3 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 21 3 10 80:51 66
4 Goppinger 34 16 10 8 57:48 58
5 Mutschelbach 34 16 9 9 71:66 57
6 Oberachern 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
7 Holzhausen FC 34 13 9 12 69:62 48
8 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 46:42 48
9 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 14 5 15 68:72 47
10 FC Nottingen 34 13 6 15 68:66 45
11 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 8 14 69:62 44
12 Offenburger 34 11 7 16 48:75 40
13 Backnang 34 11 6 17 56:76 39
14 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 46:63 37
15 Ravensburg 34 8 13 13 44:62 37
16 Rielasingen - Arlen 34 10 7 17 55:77 37
17 Neckarsulm SU 34 7 10 17 46:68 31
18 Freiburger 34 4 6 24 38:91 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)