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Freienbach vs Thalwil

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022
Freienbach Logo

Freienbach

3 - 2
FT
Thalwil Logo

Thalwil

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022 game between Freienbach and Thalwil finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freienbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Freienbach
20%
Draws
22%
Thalwil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freienbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Thalwil haven't matched Freienbach's recent run of results.
  • Freienbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Freienbach here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 11%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freienbach Thalwil
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.68 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Thalwil
3:2
Nov 13, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Freienbach
2:1
Jul 31, 2011 Swiss Cup
Thalwil vs Freienbach
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freienbach 83 / 100
Thalwil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freienbach Thalwil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freienbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Freienbach scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Thalwil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Freienbach has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freienbach VS Thalwil
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freienbach

(Home)
09 Aug
Gossau
0 : 0
Freienbach
24 Jun
Freienbach
1 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
30 May
SV Schaffhausen
1 : 3
Freienbach
20 May
Freienbach
3 : 0
Baden
13 May
Kosova
3 : 3
Freienbach
Page 1 of 8

Thalwil

(Away)
08 Aug
Thalwil
2 : 1
Collina d'Oro
27 Jun
Thalwil
4 : 6
Zurich
12 Jun
Thalwil
0 : 7
Zurich
28 May
Thalwil
0 : 6
St. Gallen II
21 May
Freienbach
3 : 2
Thalwil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baden 26 17 3 6 54:27 54
2 Paradiso 26 15 7 4 45:32 52
3 Tuggen 26 16 3 7 55:37 51
4 St. Gallen II 26 13 3 10 65:41 42
5 Wettswil-Bonstetten 26 13 3 10 43:24 42
6 Linth 26 10 9 7 47:41 39
7 Freienbach 26 12 3 11 44:43 39
8 Winterthur II 26 10 7 9 52:37 37
9 Eschen/Mauren 26 10 7 9 35:38 37
10 Uzwil 26 8 5 13 41:55 29
11 Gossau 26 8 4 14 35:56 28
12 Lugano II 26 8 3 15 37:51 27
13 Thalwil 26 7 2 17 30:70 23
14 Balzers 26 5 1 20 41:72 16
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)