Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freital vs Wismut Gera

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hennig F.
28' Event
Wuchrer R.
65' Event
Balde C.

AI Match Summary

Freital in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Freital
30%
Draws
0%
Wismut Gera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Freital have won more games recently than Wismut Gera.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Freital taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Freital Clean Sheet 20%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Wismut Gera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.73 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Wismut Gera
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wismut Gera vs Freital
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freital Compare

Top Goalscorer Hennig F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wuchrer R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Wismut Gera Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 85 / 100
Wismut Gera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Wismut Gera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismut Gera let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Wismut Gera lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Freital found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Freital VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
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Wismut Gera

(Away)
26 Jul
Auerbach
8 : 2
Wismut Gera
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Wismut Gera
3 : 4
Auerbach
25 May
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Wismut Gera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magdeburg II 30 23 6 1 88:25 75
2 Krieschow 30 16 7 7 75:42 55
3 Halle 30 16 7 7 65:42 55
4 Rsv Eintracht 30 17 3 10 67:37 54
5 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
6 Freital 30 15 4 11 54:47 49
7 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 62:55 48
8 Bischofswerdaer 30 12 10 8 38:40 46
9 Bautzen 30 10 8 12 57:58 38
10 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 57:72 36
11 Sandersdorf 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
12 Grimma 30 9 7 14 50:65 34
13 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 8 7 15 50:58 31
14 Wismut Gera 30 9 4 17 50:78 31
15 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 6 7 17 40:79 25
16 Ludwigsfelder 30 1 4 25 17:74 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)