Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frejus Saint Raphael vs Bergerac

France France

National 2 - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Noc M.
50' Event
Caumet R.
65' Event
Noc M.

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael in this National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Frejus Saint Raphael
20%
Draws
40%
Bergerac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frejus Saint Raphael lately — more wins on the board than Bergerac.
  • Frejus Saint Raphael are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 19%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Bergerac
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Bergerac
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:1
Jan 13, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:1
Aug 19, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Bergerac
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Noc M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaby A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bergerac Compare

Top Goalscorer Caumet R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diop A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 85 / 100
Bergerac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Bergerac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Bergerac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Frejus Saint Raphael has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 7

Bergerac

(Away)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 17 8 5 48:17 59
2 Cannes 30 15 10 5 57:30 55
3 Toulon 30 13 9 8 44:35 48
4 RC Grasse 30 11 12 7 40:29 45
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 34:25 45
6 Angouleme CFC 30 10 13 7 28:28 43
7 Saint Priest 30 11 9 10 32:33 42
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 12 9 33:36 38
9 Istres 30 11 5 14 40:48 38
10 Rumilly Vallieres 30 8 13 9 35:35 37
11 Andrezieux 30 9 10 11 36:29 37
12 Marignane GCB 30 9 8 13 29:43 35
13 Bergerac 30 9 7 14 34:49 34
14 GOAL FC 30 10 6 14 33:53 32
15 Jura Sud 30 5 14 11 28:36 29
16 Genets 30 4 8 18 25:50 20
Promotion - National 2025/2026 (Main)