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Frejus Saint Raphael vs GOAL FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael Logo

Frejus Saint Raphael

2 - 4
FT
GOAL FC Logo

GOAL FC

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Abdeldjelil O.
15' Event
Dadoune O.
35' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Frejus Saint Raphael and GOAL FC finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GOAL FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Frejus Saint Raphael
30%
Draws
42%
GOAL FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GOAL FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GOAL FC come out ahead of Frejus Saint Raphael on wins alone.
  • Model gives Frejus Saint Raphael a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 20%
GOAL FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael GOAL FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs GOAL FC
2:4
Feb 14, 2026 National 1 - Group C
GOAL FC vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs GOAL FC
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs GOAL FC
2:4
Sep 21, 2024 National 1 - Group A
GOAL FC vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdeldjelil O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

GOAL FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Djedid A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Dadoune O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 36 / 100
GOAL FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael GOAL FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Frejus Saint Raphael scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

GOAL FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Frejus Saint Raphael went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS GOAL FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 7

GOAL FC

(Away)
03 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 0
Lyon - La Duchere
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
GOAL FC
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
05 Sept
Bourges 18
0 : 0
GOAL FC
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 6 5 1 0 15:3 16
2 Hyeres 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Toulon 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 GOAL FC 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Touraine 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Rumilly Vallieres 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Andrezieux 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Saint Priest 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Bourges 18 5 0 4 1 1:2 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
15 Chateauroux 5 0 3 2 1:3 3
16 Lyon - La Duchere 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)