Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frejus Saint Raphael vs Marignane GCB

France France

National 2 - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Quarshie J.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 game between Frejus Saint Raphael and Marignane GCB finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marignane GCB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Frejus Saint Raphael
20%
Draws
46%
Marignane GCB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marignane GCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frejus Saint Raphael come out ahead of Marignane GCB on wins alone.
  • Model gives Frejus Saint Raphael a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 19%
Marignane GCB Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Marignane GCB
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Marignane GCB vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:2
Jan 11, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Marignane GCB
0:1
Feb 4, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Marignane GCB vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Marignane GCB
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Marignane GCB vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Marignane GCB Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarshie J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 36 / 100
Marignane GCB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Marignane GCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

Marignane GCB has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Frejus Saint Raphael went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
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Marignane GCB

(Away)
17 May
GOAL FC
3 : 2
Marignane GCB
10 May
Marignane GCB
2 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
03 May
Angouleme CFC
0 : 1
Marignane GCB
26 Apr
Marignane GCB
1 : 0
Hyeres
19 Apr
Genets
0 : 0
Marignane GCB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 17 8 5 48:17 59
2 Cannes 30 15 10 5 57:30 55
3 Toulon 30 13 9 8 44:35 48
4 RC Grasse 30 11 12 7 40:29 45
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 34:25 45
6 Angouleme CFC 30 10 13 7 28:28 43
7 Saint Priest 30 11 9 10 32:33 42
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 12 9 33:36 38
9 Istres 30 11 5 14 40:48 38
10 Rumilly Vallieres 30 8 13 9 35:35 37
11 Andrezieux 30 9 10 11 36:29 37
12 Marignane GCB 30 9 8 13 29:43 35
13 Bergerac 30 9 7 14 34:49 34
14 GOAL FC 30 10 6 14 33:53 32
15 Jura Sud 30 5 14 11 28:36 29
16 Genets 30 4 8 18 25:50 20
Promotion - National 2025/2026 (Main)