Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frejus Saint Raphael vs RC Grasse

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Le Bihan M.

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Frejus Saint Raphael
15%
Draws
46%
RC Grasse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RC Grasse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael haven't matched RC Grasse's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Frejus Saint Raphael taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 16%
RC Grasse Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael RC Grasse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs RC Grasse
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group C
RC Grasse vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs RC Grasse
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 National 1 - Group A
RC Grasse vs Frejus Saint Raphael
4:0
Feb 3, 2024 National 1 - Group A
RC Grasse vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Bihan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

RC Grasse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 41 / 100
RC Grasse 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael RC Grasse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Grasse let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Frejus Saint Raphael found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Frejus Saint Raphael went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS RC Grasse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
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RC Grasse

(Away)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Rumilly Vallieres
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
RC Grasse
2 : 2
Istres
17 Apr
Andrezieux
1 : 2
RC Grasse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)