Sport Picks

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Fremantle City vs Bayswater

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Hilton Park, Fremantle
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ambrogio N.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Teece C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fremantle City
15%
Draws
58%
Bayswater
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayswater have won more games recently than Fremantle City.
  • Win probability leans Bayswater's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 10%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fremantle City Bayswater
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 15 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Bayswater
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Fremantle City
3:3
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayswater vs Fremantle City
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Bayswater
1:2
May 31, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Fremantle City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fremantle City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer Teece C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fremantle City 10 / 100
Bayswater 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fremantle City Bayswater

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayswater Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fremantle City found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Bayswater conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fremantle City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fremantle City VS Bayswater
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fremantle City

(Home)
22 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 1
Fremantle City
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
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Bayswater

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Bayswater
5 : 3
Olympic Kingsway
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
14 Aug
Bayswater
6 : 2
Stirling Macedonia
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)